Managing Currency Pegs

Working Paper: NBER ID: w18092

Authors: Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé; Martín Uribe

Abstract: The combination of a fixed exchange rate and downward nominal wage rigidity creates a real rigidity. In turn, this real rigidity makes the economy prone to involuntary unemployment during external crises. This paper presents a graphical analysis of alternative policy strategies aimed at mitigating this source of inefficiency. First- and second-best monetary and fiscal solutions are analyzed. Second-best solutions are found to be prudential, whereas first-best solutions are not.

Keywords: currency pegs; fixed exchange rates; nominal wage rigidity; involuntary unemployment; policy interventions

JEL Codes: F41


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
fixed exchange rates + nominal wage rigidity (F31)involuntary unemployment (J64)
devaluation of domestic currency (F31)full employment (J68)
labor subsidies (J89)employment levels (J23)
capital controls (F38)labor market outcomes (J48)
external shocks (like interest rate increases) (E49)involuntary unemployment (J64)

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