Trade and Inequality: From Theory to Estimation

Working Paper: NBER ID: w17991

Authors: Elhanan Helpman; Oleg Itskhoki; Marc-Andreas Muendler; Stephen J. Redding

Abstract: While neoclassical theory emphasizes the impact of trade on wage inequality between occupations and sectors, more recent theories of firm heterogeneity point to the impact of trade on wage dispersion within occupations and sectors. Using linked employer-employee data for Brazil, we show that much of overall wage inequality arises within sector-occupations and for workers with similar observable characteristics; this within component is driven by wage dispersion between firms; and wage dispersion between firms is related to firm employment size and trade participation. We then extend the heterogenous-firm model of trade and inequality from Helpman, Itskhoki, and Redding (2010) and estimate it with Brazilian data. We show that the estimated model provides a close approximation to the observed distribution of wages and employment. We use the estimated model to undertake counterfactuals, in which we find sizable effects of trade on wage inequality.

Keywords: Trade; Wage Inequality; Firm Heterogeneity

JEL Codes: E24; F12; F16


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
wage dispersion between firms (J31)wage inequality (J31)
trade participation (F10)wage inequality (J31)
firm employment size (L25)wage dispersion (J31)
trade participation (F10)wage dispersion (J31)
trade liberalization (F13)wage distributions (J31)

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