Trade and Industrialisation after Globalisations: 2nd Unbundling - How Building and Joining a Supply Chain are Different and Why it Matters

Working Paper: NBER ID: w17716

Authors: Richard Baldwin

Abstract: Revolutionary transformations of industry and trade occurred from 1985 to the late-1990s - the regionalisation of supply chains. Before 1985, successful industrialisation meant building a domestic supply chain. Today, industrialisers join supply chains and grow rapidly because offshored production brings elements that took Korea and Taiwan decades to develop domestically. These changes have not been fully reflected in "high development theory" - a lacuna that may lead to misinterpretation of data and inattention to important policy questions.

Keywords: Globalization; Industrialization; Supply Chains; ICT Revolution; Trade

JEL Codes: F1; F2; F21; F23; F43


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
ICT revolution (L63)lower coordination costs (D23)
lower coordination costs (D23)separation of production stages (L23)
joining a supply chain (L14)easier industrialization (N60)
proximity to advanced technology nations (O57)ability of developing nations to participate in supply chains (F63)
joining supply chains (L14)access to advanced technologies and managerial know-how (O36)
geographical proximity to high-technology nations (O57)integration into supply chains (F15)

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