The Effect of Pollution on Labor Supply: Evidence from a Natural Experiment in Mexico City

Working Paper: NBER ID: w17302

Authors: Rema Hanna; Paulina Oliva

Abstract: Moderate effects of pollution on health may exert an important influence on labor market decisions. We exploit exogenous variation in pollution due to the closure of a large refinery in Mexico City to understand how pollution impacts labor supply. The closure led to an 8 percent decline in pollution in the surrounding neighborhoods. We find that a one percent increase in sulfur dioxide results in a 0.61 percent decrease in the hours worked. The effects do not appear to be driven by labor demand shocks nor differential migration as a result of the closure in the areas located near the refinery.

Keywords: pollution; labor supply; natural experiment; Mexico City

JEL Codes: O0; Q0; Q5; Q53


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
pollution levels (Q53)labor supply (J20)
closure of refinery (L71)pollution levels (Q53)
closure of refinery (L71)labor supply (J20)

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