Covariances versus Characteristics in General Equilibrium

Working Paper: NBER ID: w17285

Authors: Xiaoji Lin; Lu Zhang

Abstract: We question a deep-ingrained doctrine in asset pricing: If an empirical characteristic-return relation is consistent with investor "rationality," the relation must be "explained" by a risk factor model. The investment approach changes the big picture of asset pricing. Factors formed on characteristics are not necessarily risk factors: Characteristics-based factor models are linear approximations of firm-level investment returns. The evidence that characteristics dominate covariances in horse races does not necessarily mean mispricing: Measurement errors in covariances are more likely to blame. Most important, the investment approach completes the consumption approach in general equilibrium, especially for cross-sectional asset pricing.

Keywords: Asset Pricing; Investment Approach; Characteristics; Covariances; General Equilibrium

JEL Codes: D51; D53; D58; E22; E44; G12; G14; G31


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
characteristics (L15)expected returns (G17)
covariances (C10)expected returns (G17)
characteristics (L15)covariances (C10)

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