Prospective Analysis of a Wage Subsidy for Cape Town Youth

Working Paper: NBER ID: w17248

Authors: James A. Levinsohn; Todd Pugatch

Abstract: Recognizing that a credible estimate of a wage subsidy's impact requires a model of the labor market that itself generates high unemployment in equilibrium, we estimate a structural search model that incorporates both observed heterogeneity and measurement error in wages. Using the model to examine the impact of a wage subsidy, we find that a R1000/month wage subsidy paid to employers leads to an increase of R660 in mean accepted wages and a decrease of 15 percentage points in the share of youth experiencing long-term unemployment.

Keywords: wage subsidy; youth unemployment; Cape Town; labor market; South Africa

JEL Codes: J64; J68


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
R1000/month wage subsidy (J68)mean accepted wages (J31)
R1000/month wage subsidy (J68)share of youth experiencing long-term unemployment (J64)

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