Working Paper: NBER ID: w16642
Authors: Andrei Shleifer; Robert W. Vishny
Abstract: Fire sales are forced sales of assets in which high-valuation bidders are sidelined, typically due to debt overhang problems afflicting many specialist bidders simultaneously. We overview theoretical and empirical research on asset fire sales, which shows how they can arise, how they can lead to asset under-valuations, how contracts and bankruptcy regimes adjust to the risk of fire sales, how fire sales can lead to downward spirals or cascades in asset prices, how arbitrage fails in the presence of fire sales, and how fire sales can reduce productive investment. We conclude by showing how asset fire sales shed light on several aspects of the recent financial crisis, and can account for the success of the liquidity provision and asset purchase policies of the Federal Reserve.
Keywords: Fire Sales; Financial Crises; Asset Pricing; Liquidity; Banking
JEL Codes: E44; E51; G01; G21; G32; G33
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| fire sales (G33) | undervaluation of assets (G32) |
| fire sales (G33) | downward spiral in asset values (E32) |
| downward spiral in asset values (E32) | further asset liquidations (G33) |
| fire sales (G33) | reduced investment (G31) |
| liquidity provision by Federal Reserve (E52) | mitigate adverse effects of fire sales (G33) |