Do People Seek to Maximize Happiness? Evidence from New Surveys

Working Paper: NBER ID: w16489

Authors: Daniel J. Benjamin; Ori Heffetz; Miles S. Kimball; Alex Rees-Jones

Abstract: Are subjective well-being (SWB) measures a good empirical proxy for utility? We evaluate one necessary assumption: that people's preferences coincide with what they predict will maximize their SWB. Our method is to present survey respondents with hypothetical scenarios and elicit both choice and predicted SWB rankings of two alternatives. While choice and predicted SWB rankings usually coincide, we find systematic reversals. Furthermore, we identify factors--such as predicted sense of purpose, control over one's life, family happiness, and social status--that help explain choice controlling for predicted SWB. We explore how our findings vary with the SWB measure and the choice situation.

Keywords: subjective well-being; utility; preferences; decision-making; survey research

JEL Codes: D03; D60


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
predicted SWB (I31)actual choices (D01)
sense of purpose (I31)choices (Y60)
control over one's life (D10)choices (Y60)
family happiness (J12)choices (Y60)
financial considerations (G50)choices (Y60)
predicted SWB (I31)discrepancies in choices (D80)
non-SWB factors (J29)choices (Y60)

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