Working Paper: NBER ID: w16276
Authors: Thomas J. Prusa; Robert Teh
Abstract: We analyze whether preferential trade agreements (PTAs) affect the incidence and pattern of antidumping (AD) filings. We estimate AD provisions in PTAs have decreased the incidence of intra-PTA AD cases by 33-55% and have increased the number of AD actions against non-PTA members by 10-30%. The net effect of PTA rules on total AD filings is small. Our results are robust to alternative estimation approaches and controlling for a myriad of other PTA-related phenomena. Our results suggest a protection analogue to the "trade creation-trade diversion" impact of PTAs. PTA members are spared from AD actions but non-PTA members face even greater AD scrutiny.
Keywords: Preferential Trade Agreements; Antidumping; Trade Policy
JEL Codes: F1; F5
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| PTAs (J44) | intrapTA AD cases (C22) |
| PTAs (J44) | AD actions against non-PTA members (L44) |
| intrapTA AD cases (C22) | total AD filings (L49) |
| AD actions against non-PTA members (L44) | total AD filings (L49) |