How Do Employers React to a Pay-or-Play Mandate? Early Evidence from San Francisco

Working Paper: NBER ID: w16179

Authors: Carrie Hoverman Colla; William H. Dow; Arindrajit Dube

Abstract: In 2006 San Francisco adopted major health reform, becoming the first city to implement a pay-or-play employer health spending mandate. It also created Healthy San Francisco, a "public option" to promote affordable universal access to care. Using the 2008 Bay Area Employer Health Benefits Survey, we find that most employers (75%) had to increase health spending to comply with the law, yet most (64%) are supportive of the law. There is substantial employer demand for the public option, with 21% of firms using Healthy San Francisco for at least some employees, yet there is little evidence of firms dropping existing insurance offerings in the first year after implementation.

Keywords: Health Policy; Employer Mandates; Public Health Insurance

JEL Codes: I11; I18


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
HCSO (Y50)employer health spending (H51)
HCSO (Y50)employer benefit offerings (J32)
HCSO (Y50)use of Healthy San Francisco public option (I13)
HCSO (Y50)employer support for the law (K31)
HCSO (Y50)crowd-out of private insurance (I13)

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