Risk and Global Economic Architecture: Why Full Financial Integration May Be Undesirable

Working Paper: NBER ID: w15718

Authors: Joseph E. Stiglitz

Abstract: This paper provides a general framework for analyzing the optimal degree and form of financial integration. Full integration is not in general optimal: faced with a choice between two polar regimes, full integration or autarky, autarky may be superior. The intuition is simple: if underlying technologies are not convex, then risk-sharing can lower expected utility. The simplistic models arguing for financial integration typically employed in economics assume convexity; but the world is rife with non-convexities, e.g. associated with bankruptcy. The architecture of the credit market can, for instance, affect the likelihood of a bankruptcy cascade, "contagion," and systemic risk.

Keywords: No keywords provided

JEL Codes: F33; F36; G32


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
financial integration (F30)expected utility (D81)
non-convex technologies (O33)expected utility (D81)
market structure (D49)systemic risk (E44)
financial integration (F30)bankruptcy cascades (G33)
bankruptcy cascades (G33)systemic risk (E44)
financial integration (F30)adverse outcomes (I12)

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