Working Paper: NBER ID: w1528
Authors: Tadashi Yamada
Abstract: This paper is a study of the dynamic relationships between two demographic variables--the infant mortality rate and the fertility rate-- using time series methodology. I believe that I have shown that infant mortality and fertility are not independent but rather are jointly determined. Also, i believe that I have shown that a decline in infant mortality that is due to an increase in per capita real income triggers a subsequent decline in fertility.This dynamic nexus between changes in infant mortality and fertilitylies at the heart of the so-called "demographic transition."
Keywords: Infant Mortality; Fertility; Demographic Transition; Time Series Analysis
JEL Codes: I12; J13
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| Prolonged breastfeeding (J13) | Reduced fertility (J13) |
| Infant mortality (J13) | Fertility (J13) |
| Fertility (J13) | Infant mortality (J13) |
| Decline in infant mortality (J13) | Decline in fertility rates (J13) |