Working Paper: NBER ID: w15209
Authors: Lee J. Alston; Andrés A. Gallo
Abstract: The future looked bright for Argentina in the early twentieth century. It had already achieved high levels of income per capita and was moving away from authoritarian government towards a more open democracy. Unfortunately, Argentina never finished the transition. The turning point occurred in the 1930s when to stay in power, the Conservatives in the Pampas resorted to electoral fraud, which neither the legislative, executive, or judicial branches checked. The decade of unchecked electoral fraud led to the support for Juan Peron and subsequently to political and economic instability.
Keywords: electoral fraud; Perón; checks and balances; Argentina
JEL Codes: E02; H11; K0; K11; N16; N26; N46; O11; O54; P48
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| Electoral Fraud (K16) | Political Instability (O17) |
| Erosion of Checks and Balances (D72) | Rise of Juan Perón (N16) |
| Erosion of Checks and Balances (D72) | Political Instability (O17) |
| Electoral Fraud (K16) | Decline of Checks and Balances (H61) |
| Rise of Juan Perón (N16) | Political Instability (O17) |
| Erosion of Checks and Balances (D72) | Erosion of Democratic Process (D72) |
| Electoral Fraud (K16) | Rise of Juan Perón (N16) |