Working Paper: NBER ID: w15099
Authors: Howard Bodenhorn; Gregory Price
Abstract: This paper considers the extent to which crime in the 19th century was conditioned on body weight. With data on inmates incarcerated in the Tennessee and Illinois state penitentiaries between 1831 and 1892, we estimate the parameters of Wiebull proportional hazard specifications of the individual crime hazard. Our results reveal that consistent with a theory in which body weight can be a source of labor market disadvantage, crime in the 19th century does appear to have been conditioned on body weight. However, in contrast to the 20th century, in which labor market disadvantage increases with respect to body weight, in the 19th century labor market disadvantage decreased with respect to body weight, causing individual crime hazards to decrease with respect to body weight. We find that such a relationship is consistent with a 19th century complementarity between body weight and typical jobs that required adequate nutrition and caloric intake to support normal work effort and performance.
Keywords: crime; body weight; 19th century; labor market; obesity
JEL Codes: J24; K14; N31
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| body weight (I14) | individual crime hazards (K42) |
| body weight conditions labor market opportunities (J29) | individual crime hazards (K42) |
| higher body mass index (BMI) (I12) | lower crime hazards (K42) |
| being relatively less fat in the 19th century (N93) | individual criminal behavior (K42) |