Quantity-Quality and the One Child Policy: The Only-Child Disadvantage in School Enrollment in Rural China

Working Paper: NBER ID: w14973

Authors: Nancy Qian

Abstract: Many believe that increasing the quantity of children will lead to a decrease in their quality. This paper exploits plausibly exogenous changes in family size caused by relaxations in China's One Child Policy to estimate the causal effect of family size on school enrollment of the first child. The results show that for one-child families, an additional child significantly increased school enrollment of first-born children by approximately 16 percentage-points. The effect is larger for households where the children are of the same sex.

Keywords: One Child Policy; China; School Enrollment; Family Size

JEL Codes: I20; J13; O1


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
family size (J12)school enrollment of the firstborn child (I21)
additional child (J13)school enrollment of the firstborn child (I21)
additional child (J13)educational opportunities for the firstborn child (I24)

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