A Theory of Outsourcing and Wage Decline

Working Paper: NBER ID: w14856

Authors: Thomas J. Holmes; Julia Thornton Snider

Abstract: We develop a theory of outsourcing in which there is market power in one factor market (labor) and no market power in a second factor market (capital). There are two intermediate goods: one labor-intensive and the other capital-intensive. We show there is always outsourcing in the market allocation when a friction limiting outsourcing is not too big. The key factor underlying the result is that labor demand is more elastic, the greater the labor share. Integrated plants pay higher wages than the specialist producers of labor-intensive intermediates. We derive conditions under which there are multiple equilibria that vary in the degree of outsourcing. Across these equilibria, wages are lower the greater the degree of outsourcing. Wages fall when outsourcing increases in response to a decline in the outsourcing friction.

Keywords: No keywords provided

JEL Codes: J31; L22; L23


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
increases in outsourcing (L24)decreases in wage payments (J33)
decrease in outsourcing friction (L24)increases in outsourcing (L24)
increases in outsourcing (L24)decline in wages (J31)
higher labor share (D33)more elastic demand for labor (J29)
increases in outsourcing (L24)self-reinforcing cycle of wage declines (J31)
wages for capital-intensive tasks (J39)increases (O42)
overall effect of outsourcing on labor-intensive tasks (F66)negative (Y70)
wage reductions (J38)contribute to outsourcing decisions (L24)

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