Deciphering the Liquidity and Credit Crunch 2007-08

Working Paper: NBER ID: w14612

Authors: Markus K. Brunnermeier

Abstract: This paper summarizes and explains the main events of the liquidity and credit crunch in 2007-08. Starting with the trends leading up to the crisis, I explain how these events unfolded and how four different amplification mechanisms magnified losses in the mortgage market into large dislocations and turmoil in financial markets.

Keywords: liquidity; credit crunch; financial crisis; mortgage market; securitization

JEL Codes: E4; E5; G2


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Borrowers' balance sheet effects (G21)liquidity spirals (E44)
liquidity spirals (E44)eroded capital for financial institutions (F65)
liquidity spirals (E44)tightened lending standards (G21)
tightened lending standards (G21)push down prices (D41)
tightened lending standards (G21)tighten funding further (H60)
Banks hoarding funds (G21)drying up of the lending channel (F65)
Runs on financial institutions (G21)erosion of bank capital (F65)
Network effects (D85)gridlock due to counterparty credit risks (E44)

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