Working Paper: NBER ID: w14469
Authors: Bryan S. Graham; James Powell
Abstract: In this paper we study identification and estimation of a correlated random coefficients (CRC) panel data model. The outcome of interest varies linearly with a vector of endogenous regressors. The coefficients on these regressors are heterogenous across units and may covary with them. We consider the average partial effect (APE) of a small change in the regressor vector on the outcome (cf., Chamberlain, 1984; Wooldridge, 2005a). Chamberlain (1992) calculates the semiparametric efficiency bound for the APE in our model and proposes a √N consistent estimator. Nonsingularity of the APE's information bound, and hence the appropriateness of Chamberlain's (1992) estimator, requires (i) the time dimension of the panel (T) to strictly exceed the number of random coefficients (p) and (ii) strong conditions on the time series properties of the regressor vector. We demonstrate irregular identification of the APE when T = p and for more persistent regressor processes. Our approach exploits the different identifying information in the subpopulations of 'stayers' -- or units whose regressor values change little across periods -- and 'movers' -- or units whose regressor values change substantially across periods. We propose a feasible estimator based on our identification result and characterize its large sample properties. While irregularity precludes our estimator from attaining parametric rates of convergence, it limiting distribution is normal and inference is straightforward to conduct. Standard software may be used to compute point estimates and standard errors. We use our methods to estimate the average elasticity of calorie consumption with respect to total outlay for a sample of poor Nicaraguan households.
Keywords: correlated random coefficients; panel data; average partial effect; calorie consumption; Nicaragua
JEL Codes: C14; C23; I1; O15
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| time dimension of the panel (t) (C23) | irregular identification (F55) |
| irregular identification (F55) | complicates estimation process (C51) |
| conditions (at least one component of the regressor vector is continuously valued) (C20) | APE can still be identified (Q16) |
| conditions met (C62) | APE is point identified (C33) |
| identification results (F50) | feasible estimator (C51) |
| approach (B53) | normal limiting distribution for the estimator (C51) |
| estimated average elasticity of calorie consumption with respect to total outlay (D12) | smaller than estimates derived from traditional linear fixed effects models (C51) |
| correlated random coefficients bias (C10) | complicates estimation process (C51) |