Working Paper: NBER ID: w14303
Authors: Alan Gerber; Jonathan Gruber; Daniel M. Hungerman
Abstract: Regular church attendance is strongly associated with a higher probability of voting. It is an open question as to whether this association, which has been confirmed in numerous surveys, is causal. We use the repeal of the laws restricting Sunday retail activity ("Blue laws") to measure the effects of church-going on political participation. The repeal of Blue Laws caused a 5 percent decrease in church attendance. We measure the effect of Blue Laws' repeal on political participation and find that following the repeal turnout falls by approximately 1 percentage point. This turnout decline, which is statistically significant and fairly robust across model specifications, is consistent with the large effect of church attendance on turnout reported in the literature, and suggests that church attendance may have significant causal influence on voter turnout.
Keywords: Church Attendance; Voter Turnout; Blue Laws; Religiosity; Political Participation
JEL Codes: H1; J2
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| Church attendance (Z12) | Voter turnout (K16) |
| Repeal of blue laws (K29) | Church attendance (Z12) |
| Repeal of blue laws (K29) | Voter turnout (K16) |