Long Term Insurance (LTI) for Addressing Catastrophe Risk

Working Paper: NBER ID: w14210

Authors: Dwight Jaffee; Howard Kunreuther; Erwann Michel-Kerjan

Abstract: This paper proposes long-term insurance (LTI) as an alternative to the standard annual homeowners policy using lessons from the mortgage market as a benchmark. LTI has the potential to significantly increase social welfare by reducing insurers' administrative costs, lowering search costs and uncertainty for consumers and providing incentives for long-term investment in mitigation measures to protect property. A two-period model illustrates situations that would make a long-term contract attractive to both insurers and consumers under competitive market conditions.

Keywords: Long-term insurance; Catastrophe risk; Social welfare; Insurance market

JEL Codes: G1; G2; G22


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
implementation of long-term insurance (LTI) (G52)increase social welfare (D69)
implementation of long-term insurance (LTI) (G52)reduce administrative costs (K23)
implementation of long-term insurance (LTI) (G52)lower search costs (G14)
implementation of long-term insurance (LTI) (G52)reduce uncertainty for consumers (D80)
implementation of long-term insurance (LTI) (G52)increase investment in mitigation measures (E22)
current short-term insurance policies (G52)increase social costs (H39)
lack of LTI (Y70)reluctance to invest in protective measures (G31)
implementation of long-term insurance (LTI) (G52)reduce homeowners' reluctance to invest in protective measures (G52)

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