The Dynamics of City Formation

Working Paper: NBER ID: w13769

Authors: J. Vernon Henderson; Anthony Venables

Abstract: This paper examines city formation in a country whose urban population is growing steadily over time, with new cities required to accommodate this growth. In contrast to most of the literature there is immobility of housing and urban infrastructure, and investment in these assets is taken on the basis of forward-looking behavior. In the presence of these fixed assets cities form sequentially, without the population swings in existing cities that arise in current models, but with swings in house rents. Equilibrium city size, absent government, may be larger or smaller than is efficient, depending on how urban externalities vary with population. Efficient formation of cities with internalization of externalities involves local government intervention and borrowing to finance development. The paper explores the institutions required for successful local government intervention.

Keywords: No keywords provided

JEL Codes: O10; O18; R11


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
housing investment (R31)city growth (R11)
local government intervention (H70)housing price stabilization (R31)
urban externalities (R11)equilibrium city size (R12)
housing prices (R31)urban growth (R11)
city size (R12)urban growth (R11)

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