Working Paper: NBER ID: w13765
Authors: Kris James Mitchener; Marc Weidenmier
Abstract: Although many modern studies find large and significant effects of prior colonial status on bilateral trade, there is very little empirical research that has focused on the contemporaneous impact of empire on trade. We employ a new database of over 21,000 bilateral trade observations during the Age of High Imperialism, 1870-1913, to quantitatively assess the effect of empire on trade. Our augmented gravity model shows that belonging to an empire roughly doubled trade relative to those countries that were not part of an empire. The positive impact that empire exerts on trade does not appear to be sensitive to whether the metropole was Britain, France, Germany, Spain, or the United States or to the inclusion of other institutional factors such as being on the gold standard. In addition, we examine some of the channels through which colonial status impacted bilateral trade flows. The empirical analysis suggests that empires increased trade by lowering transactions costs and by establishing trade policies that promoted trade within empires. In particular, the use of a common language, the establishment of currency unions, the monetizing of recently acquired colonies, preferential trade arrangements, and customs unions help to account for the observed increase in trade associated with empire.
Keywords: Empire; Trade; Colonial Status
JEL Codes: F15; F33; N20; N23; N40
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| Membership in an empire (F55) | Bilateral trade (F10) |
| Empire membership (F36) | Enhanced trade flows (F19) |
| Empire membership (F36) | Increase in bilateral trade (F10) |
| Gold standard (E42) | Bilateral trade (F10) |
| Non-empire currency unions (F36) | Bilateral trade (F10) |