Working Paper: NBER ID: w13664
Authors: Awash Teklehaimanot; Gordon C. McCord; Jeffrey D. Sachs
Abstract: This paper estimates the number of people at risk of contracting malaria in Africa using GIS methods and the disease's epidemiologic characteristics. It then estimates yearly costs of covering the population at risk with the package of interventions (differing by level of malaria endemicity and differing for rural and urban populations) for malaria as recommended by the UN Millennium Project. These projected costs are calculated assuming a ramp-up of coverage to full coverage by 2008, and then projected out through 2015 to give a year-by-year cost of meeting the Millennium Development Goal for reducing the burden of malaria by 75% We conclude that the cost of comprehensive malaria control for Africa is US$3.0 billion per year on average, or around US$4.02 per African at risk.
Keywords: Malaria; Control; Africa; Economic Assessment; Epidemiological Assessment
JEL Codes: I18
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| scaling up the distribution of long-lasting insecticidal nets (LLINs) (D39) | reduce malaria morbidity and mortality (I14) |
| full coverage of LLINs (G52) | reduce malaria morbidity and mortality (I14) |
| implementation of indoor residual spraying (IRS) in unstable transmission areas (H87) | prevent malaria deaths (O15) |