Taxes and the Global Allocation of Capital

Working Paper: NBER ID: w13624

Authors: David Backus; Espen Henriksen; Kjetil Storesletten

Abstract: Despite enormous growth in international capital flows, capital-output ratios continue to exhibit substantial heterogeneity across countries. We explore the possibility that taxes, particularly corporate taxes, are a significant source of this heterogeneity. The evidence is mixed. Tax rates computed from tax revenue are inversely correlated with capital-output ratios, as we might expect. However, effective tax rates constructed from official tax rates show little relation to capital -- or to revenue-based tax measures. The stark difference between these two tax measures remains an open issue.

Keywords: corporate taxes; capital-output ratios; international capital flows

JEL Codes: E22; F21; H25; H32


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
higher corporate tax rates (H29)lower capital-output ratios (D24)
effective tax rates (H29)higher capital-output ratios (E22)
revenue-based tax measures (H20)lower capital-output ratios (D24)

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