The Welfare Effects of Public Drug Insurance

Working Paper: NBER ID: w13501

Authors: Darius Lakdawalla; Neeraj Sood

Abstract: Rewarding inventors with inefficient monopoly power has long been regarded as the price of encouraging innovation. Public prescription drug insurance escapes that trade-off and achieves an elusive goal: lowering static deadweight loss, while simultaneously encouraging dynamic investments in innovation. As a result of this feature, the public provision of drug insurance can be welfare-improving, even for risk-neutral and purely self-interested consumers. In spite of its relatively low benefit levels, the Medicare Part D benefit generate $3.5 billion of annual static deadweight loss reduction, and at least $2.8 billion of annual value from extra innovation. These two components alone cover 87% of the social cost of publicly financing the benefit. The analysis of static and dynamic efficiency also has implications for policies complementary to a drug benefit: in the context of public monopsony power, some degree of price-negotiation by the government is always strictly welfare-improving, but this should often be coupled with extensions in patent length.

Keywords: public drug insurance; Medicare Part D; welfare effects; deadweight loss; innovation

JEL Codes: H2; H51; I11


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
public drug insurance (H51)reduce static deadweight loss (H21)
public drug insurance (H51)encourage dynamic investments in innovation (O35)
Medicare Part D benefit (H51)reduce static deadweight loss (H21)
Medicare Part D benefit (H51)generate additional innovation (O35)
Medicare Part D benefit (H51)cumulative value (J17)
price negotiation (L14)welfare improvement (I38)
price negotiation (L14)reduce deadweight loss (H21)
prohibition on price negotiation (L42)decrease welfare (I38)
interaction between price negotiation and patent gaming (C78)optimize social welfare (D69)

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