Lost on the Web: Does Web Distribution Stimulate or Depress Television Viewing?

Working Paper: NBER ID: w13497

Authors: Joel Waldfogel

Abstract: In the past few years, YouTube and other sites for sharing video files over the Internet have vaulted from obscurity to places of centrality in the media landscape. The files available at YouTube include a mix of user-generated video and clips from network television shows. Networks fear that availability of their clips on YouTube will depress television viewing. But unauthorized clips are also free advertising for television shows. As YouTube has grown quickly, major networks have responded by making their content available at their own sites. This paper examines the effects of authorized and unauthorized web distribution on television viewing between 2005 and 2007 using a survey of Penn students on their tendencies to watch television series on television as well as on the web. The results provide a glimpse of the way young, Internet-connected people use YouTube and related sites. While I find some evidence of substitution of web viewing for conventional television viewing, time spent viewing programming on the web -- 4 hours per week -- far exceeds the reduction in weekly traditional television viewing of about 25 minutes. Overall time spent on network-controlled viewing (television plus network websites) increased by 1.5 hours per week.

Keywords: web distribution; television viewing; YouTube; media consumption

JEL Codes: L1; L82


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
web viewing time (Y10)traditional television viewing time (C41)
web viewing time (Y10)overall media consumption (L82)
web distribution (D39)interest in conventional television programming (L82)
unauthorized clips (Y60)viewership of television shows (L82)
unauthorized web distribution (D39)reduction in television viewing hours (G59)
unauthorized viewing frequency (Y50)television viewing (L96)

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