Facts and Fallacies About U.S. FDI in China

Working Paper: NBER ID: w13470

Authors: Lee Branstetter; C. Fritz Foley

Abstract: Despite the rapid expansion of U.S.-China trade ties, the increase in U.S. FDI in China, and the expanding amount of economic research exploring these developments, a number of misconceptions distort the popular understanding of U.S. multinationals in China. In this paper, we seek to correct four common misunderstandings by providing a statistical portrait of several aspects of U.S. affiliate activity in the country and placing this activity in its appropriate economic context.

Keywords: U.S. FDI; China; multinational firms; foreign direct investment; economic analysis

JEL Codes: F14; F23; O19; O32


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Factors such as corruption and economic development levels (O17)U.S. FDI in China is relatively small compared to total FDI in China (F64)
Factors such as corruption and economic development levels (O17)U.S. MNE activity in China is lower than predicted by gravity models (F12)
Minimal intrafirm trade between U.S. affiliates and their U.S. parents (F23)U.S. affiliates in China are predominantly focused on the domestic market rather than exporting to the U.S. (F10)
Firms expanding in China (F23)Increased U.S. activity in China does not significantly displace investment elsewhere (F29)
R&D conducted by U.S. firms in China (O32)U.S. multinational investment in China does not aggressively exploit China's technological capabilities (F23)

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