The Power of the Pill for the Next Generation

Working Paper: NBER ID: w13402

Authors: Elizabeth Oltmans Ananat; Daniel M. Hungerman

Abstract: In this paper we ask how the diffusion of oral contraception to young unmarried women affected the number and maternal characteristics of children born to these women. Using census data, we find that early pill access led to an increase in the share of children whose mothers were married, college-educated, and had professional occupations. The pill's effects on the average mother are different from the pill's effects on the average woman, and the effects of the pill on maternal characteristics are in some instances different from the effects of abortion. We investigate the mechanisms by which the pill led to these differential effects and find that access to the pill led to falls in short-term fertility rates for young women and led to decreases in lifetime fertility at the intensive and extensive margins. The impacts of the pill on household characteristics are thus associated with retiming of births, changes in the characteristics of potential mothers, changes in which women become mothers, and by reductions in completed family size. Finally, while the pill affected maternal characteristics differently than abortion, we find suggestive results that availability of the pill lowered abortions among young women.

Keywords: No keywords provided

JEL Codes: I0; J13; N12


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
early access to the pill (I19)increase in the share of children whose mothers were married (J12)
early access to the pill (I19)increase in the share of children whose mothers were college-educated (I24)
early access to the pill (I19)increase in the share of children whose mothers had professional occupations (J19)
early access to the pill (I19)decrease in the likelihood that a child's mother was divorced (J12)
early access to the pill (I19)decline in birth rates among young women (J13)
early access to the pill (I19)permanent decreases in lifetime fertility (J19)
legal access to the pill (J18)decrease in the frequency of abortions among young women (J13)

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