Risk Shifting versus Risk Management: Investment Policy in Corporate Pension Plans

Working Paper: NBER ID: w13240

Authors: Joshua Rauh

Abstract: The asset allocation of defined benefit pension plans is a setting where both risk shifting and risk management incentives are likely be present. Empirically, firms with poorly funded pension plans and weak credit ratings allocate a greater share of pension fund assets to safer securities such as government debt and cash, whereas firms with well-funded pension plans and strong credit ratings invest more heavily in equity. These relations hold both in the cross-section and within firms and plans over time. The incentive to limit costly financial distress plays a considerably larger role than risk shifting in explaining variation in pension fund investment policy among U.S. firms.

Keywords: pension plans; risk management; corporate finance

JEL Codes: G23; G31; G32; H32


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Funding Status (I22)Asset Allocation (G11)
Poorly Funded Plans (H69)Allocation to Safer Securities (G23)
Well-Funded Plans (G23)Allocation to Equity (D63)
Funding Status Improves (G32)Allocation to Equities Increases (G11)
Funding Status Deteriorates (G32)Allocation to Safer Assets (G11)
Credit Ratings (G24)Investment Strategies (G11)
Probability of Bankruptcy Increases (G33)Allocation to Equity Declines (G32)

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