Working Paper: NBER ID: w12932
Authors: Patrick Bayer; Randi Hjalmarsson; David Pozen
Abstract: This paper analyzes the influence that juvenile offenders serving time in the same correctional facility have on each other's subsequent criminal behavior. The analysis is based on data on over 8,000 individuals serving time in 169 juvenile correctional facilities during a two-year period in Florida. These data provide a complete record of past crimes, facility assignments, and arrests and adjudications in the year following release for each individual. To control for the non-random assignment to facilities, we include facility and facility-by-prior offense fixed effects, thereby estimating peer effects using only within-facility variation over time. We find strong evidence of peer effects for burglary, petty larceny, felony and misdemeanor drug offenses, aggravated assault, and felony sex offenses; the influence of peers primarily affects individuals who already have some experience in a particular crime category. We also find evidence that the predominant types of peer effects differ in residential versus non-residential facilities; effects in the latter are consistent with network formation among youth serving time close to home.
Keywords: juvenile corrections; peer effects; recidivism; crime behavior
JEL Codes: H0; H23; J0; J24; K0
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| exposure to peers with a history of committing a crime (K42) | likelihood of recidivating (K14) |
| prior experience in a crime category (K42) | likelihood of recidivating (K14) |
| type of crime committed by peers (K42) | likelihood of recidivating (K14) |
| peer effects in non-residential facilities (C92) | likelihood of recidivating (K14) |