Long-Term Changes in Labor Supply and Taxes: Evidence from OECD Countries, 1956-2004

Working Paper: NBER ID: w12786

Authors: Lee Ohanian; Andrea Raffo; Richard Rogerson

Abstract: We document large differences in trend changes in hours worked across OECD countries over the period 1956-2004. We then assess the extent to which these changes are consistent with the intratemporal first order condition from the neoclassical growth model. We find large and trending deviations from this condition, and that the model can account for virtually none of the changes in hours worked. We then extend the model to incorporate observed changes in taxes. Our findings suggest that taxes can account for much of the variation in hours worked both over time and across countries.

Keywords: Labor Supply; Taxes; OECD; Neoclassical Growth Model

JEL Codes: E2; J22


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Taxes (H29)Labor Supply (J20)
Neoclassical Growth Model (O41)Hours Worked (J22)
Taxes (Consumption and Labor Income) (H31)Hours Worked (J22)
Taxes (H29)Variations in Labor Supply (J22)
Model Assumptions (C51)Hours Worked (J22)

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