Tariff Liberalization Policy and Financial Restrictions

Working Paper: NBER ID: w1253

Authors: Joshua Aizenman

Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to assess how restrictions on capital mobility affect adjustment to a tariff liberalization policy. This is done by comparing the adlustment process under free and restricted convertibility of foreign assets in a regime where the commercial exchange rate is pegged. It is shown that trade liberalization causes in the short run a larger drop in domestic goods prices and a smaller current account deficit in a regime with restricted convertibility. Similar results apply also for the long-run current account effects of the liberalization: they are smaller under financial restrictions.

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JEL Codes: No JEL codes provided


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Trade liberalization (F13)Domestic goods prices (P22)
Financial restrictions (H60)Domestic goods prices (P22)
Financial restrictions (H60)Current account deficit (F32)
Trade liberalization (F13)Current account deficit (F32)
Financial restrictions (H60)Effects of trade liberalization on current account (F32)

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