Protection for Sale or Surge Protection

Working Paper: NBER ID: w12258

Authors: Susumu Imai; Hajime Katayama; Kala Krishna

Abstract: This paper asks whether the results obtained from using the standard approach to testing the influential Grossman and Helpman "protection for sale (PFS)" model of political economy might arise from a simpler setting. A model of imports and quotas with protection occurring in response to import surges, but only for organized industries, is simulated and shown to provide parameter estimates consistent with the protection for sale framework. This suggests that the standard approach may be less of a test than previously thought.

Keywords: Protection for Sale; Political Economy; Trade Policy

JEL Codes: F13; D72; B41


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Political organization (F53)Protection levels (D18)
Organized industries (L69)Protection levels (D18)
Import surges (F14)Protection levels (D18)
Political organization (F53)Organized industries (L69)
PFS model predictions (E17)Parameter estimates (C51)

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