Searching for Better Prospects: Endogenizing Falling Job Tenure and Private Pension Coverage

Working Paper: NBER ID: w11808

Authors: Leora Friedberg; Michael T. Owyang; Tara M. Sinclair

Abstract: Recent declines in job tenure have coincided with a shift away from traditional defined benefit (DB) pensions, which reward long tenure. Recent evidence also points to an increase in job-to-job movements by workers, and we document gains in relative wages of job-to-job movers over a similar period. We develop a search model in which firms may offer tenure-based contracts like DB pensions to reduce the incidence of costly on-the-job search by workers. Reduced search costs can, under fairly general conditions, lower the value of deterring search and the use of DB pensions.

Keywords: No keywords provided

JEL Codes: J24; J32; J41; J63; J64


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
reduced search costs (D83)lower value of deterring search (K42)
reduced search costs (D83)use of defined benefit pensions (H55)
increased job-to-job mobility (J62)rising relative wages of job-to-job movers (J62)
declining search costs (D83)higher incidence of job changes (J63)
higher incidence of job changes (J63)shorter job tenure (J63)
firms offering tenure-based contracts (J41)mitigate costly on-the-job search (J68)
decline in effectiveness of defined benefit pensions (H55)changing nature of job mobility and search costs (J62)
improved relative wages for job-to-job movers (J62)on-the-job search has become more rewarding (J68)

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