Longterm Consequences of Secondary School Vouchers: Evidence from Administrative Records in Colombia

Working Paper: NBER ID: w10713

Authors: Joshua Angrist; Eric Bettinger; Michael Kremer

Abstract: Colombia's PACES program provided over 125,000 poor children with vouchers that covered half the cost of private secondary school. The vouchers were renewable annually conditional on adequate academic progress. Since many vouchers were assigned by lottery, program effects can reliably be assessed by comparing lottery winners and losers. Estimates using administrative records suggest the PACES program increased secondary school completion rates by 15-20 percent. Correcting for the greater percentage of lottery winners taking college admissions tests, the program increased test scores by two-tenths of a standard deviation in the distribution of potential test scores. Boys, who have lower scores than girls in this population, show larger test score gains, especially in math.

Keywords: education vouchers; Colombia; high school graduation; test scores; long-term outcomes

JEL Codes: I21; J13; I28


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Paces program (I23)increased secondary school completion rates (I21)
receiving a voucher (I22)increased graduation rates (I24)
Paces program (I23)increased test scores (I24)
vouchers (I22)increased learning (I25)
Paces program (I23)improved overall academic performance (I24)

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