Working Paper: NBER ID: w10302
Authors: Sebastian Edwards
Abstract: In this paper I use a large data set to analyze two aspects of the Latin American arts: (1) the nature of artistic creative process, and (2) Latin American art as an investment. I use data on auctions to understand the relation between artists' age and the value of their work. The analysis on creativity suggests that Latin American artists have followed very different patterns from that followed by U.S. artists. There is strong evidence suggesting that American artists born after 1920 did their best work at an earlier age than their older colleagues; exactly the opposite is true for the case of Latin America. Indeed, the results reported in this paper suggest that Latin American artists born after 1920 did their best work at a significantly older age than their colleagues from earlier cohorts. The analysis of art as an investment is based on the estimation of hedonic price indexes, and indicates that Latin American art has had a relatively high rate of return indeed much higher than that of other type of paintings. The results also indicate that returns on Latin American art have a very low degree of correlation that is, a very low beta relative to an international portfolio comprised of equities. This means that adding Latin American art will lower the overall risk of an international portfolio.
Keywords: Latin American art; creativity patterns; investment; hedonic pricing
JEL Codes: J24; O54; N26; G12; G15
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| age of artists (Z11) | price of artworks (Z11) |
| age of artists (Z11) | quality of work produced (L15) |
| Latin American artists born after 1920 (N96) | peak age of creativity (Z11) |
| Latin American art (N96) | rate of return (G11) |
| Latin American art (N96) | portfolio risk (G11) |
| historical context of Latin American art market (N96) | creativity patterns (O36) |