Marijuana and Crime: Is There a Connection Beyond Prohibition?

Working Paper: NBER ID: w10046

Authors: Rosalie Liccardo Pacula; Beau Kilmer

Abstract: We examine the relationship between marijuana use and non-drug related crime using data on arrests from the Arrestee Drug Abuse Monitoring (ADAM) Program and Uniform Crime Reports. There is a positive association between self-reported use at the time of the offence and non-drug related violent, property and income-producing crime even after accounting for other substance use in the ADAM data. Reduced form equations using both data sets only provide evidence supporting a causal mechanism for property and income-producing crime. In the case of violent crime, we find a statistically significant association with arrests but not reported crime, suggesting that marijuana use may just influence the likelihood of getting caught committing these crimes.

Keywords: No keywords provided

JEL Codes: K14; K42; I18


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Marijuana use (I12)Likelihood of being arrested for property crimes (K42)
Marijuana use (I12)Likelihood of being arrested for income-producing crimes (K42)
Marijuana use (I12)Likelihood of being apprehended for violent crimes (K42)
Marijuana price (D41)Property crime arrests (K42)
Marijuana price (D41)Income-producing crime arrests (K42)
Alcohol use (L66)Likelihood of being arrested for property crimes (K42)
Cocaine use (I12)Likelihood of being arrested for property crimes (K42)

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