Has the Rate of Investment Fallen?

Working Paper: NBER ID: w0679

Authors: Martin Feldstein

Abstract: Although the ratio of gross fixed nonresidential investment to GNP has decreased very little since the late 1960rs, the corresponding net investment ratio declined by nearly 40 percent between the second half of the 1960's and the second half of the 1970's. Four-fifths of this decline was due to the increased ratio of depreciation to GNP and only one-fifth to the decreased ratio of gross investment to GNP. The increased ratio of depreciation to GNP was in turn due in equal amounts to the higher ratio of capital to GNP and to the higher rate of depreciation. Nearly half of the higher depreciation rate was due to the increased rate of depreciation of equipment and nearly half to the increased share of equipment in the capital stock.

Keywords: investment; depreciation; capital formation; economic growth

JEL Codes: E22; E32


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
gross investment (E22)net investment (F21)
depreciation rate (E43)net investment (F21)
depreciation ratio (G32)net investment (F21)
capital-to-GNP ratio (E22)depreciation ratio (G32)
rate of depreciation (G32)depreciation ratio (G32)
reduced real return on investment (G31)net investment (F21)
high real cost of capital (G31)net investment (F21)

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