The Dynamics of Exclusion and Fiscal Conservatism

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP998

Authors: Gilles Saint-Paul

Abstract: This paper studies the impact of income inequality on fiscal conservatism when an increase in inequality affects the bottom portion of income distribution. It is argued that, contrary to what is generally assumed in the economic literature, inequality will then be associated with less, rather than more, redistributive taxation. Furthermore, if the poor are liquidity constrained then the positive association between inequality and fiscal conservatism will increase the persistence in the dynamics of income distribution and possibly lead to multiple steady states. The existence, under some conditions, of a dynamic voting equilibrium is shown and some of its properties are studied.

Keywords: political economy; income distribution; human capital; poverty; exclusion; inequality; path dependence

JEL Codes: E62; H2; H3; J24; J62


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Income Inequality (D31)Less Redistributive Taxation (H23)
Liquidity Constraints (E41)Increased Persistence in Income Distribution Dynamics (D39)
Income Inequality (D31)Persistent Underclass (I32)
Fiscal Conservatism (E62)Enhanced Returns on Investments in Human Capital (J24)
Liquidity Constraints (E41)Reduced Investments (G31)
Reduced Investments (G31)Perpetuated Poverty and Conservatism (I32)
Economic Shocks (F69)Transition from Egalitarian to Conservative States (P39)

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