Regional Growth and Regional Decline

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP9568

Authors: Holger Breinlich; Gianmarco Ottaviano; Jonathan Temple

Abstract: Since the early 1990s, there has been a renaissance in the study of regional growth, spurred by new models, methods and data. We survey a range of modelling traditions, and some formal approaches to the ?hard problem? of regional economics, namely the joint consideration of agglomeration and growth. We also review empirical methods and findings based on natural experiments, spatial discontinuity designs, and structural models. Throughout, we give considerable attention to regional growth in developing countries. Finally, we highlight the potential importance of processes that are specific to regional decline, and which deserve greater research attention.

Keywords: regional convergence; regional decline; regional growth

JEL Codes: O18; R11; R12; R13


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
economic decline (F44)increased crime (K42)
increased crime (K42)regional decline (R11)
economic decline (F44)regional decline (R11)
agglomeration economies + transport costs + institutional quality (R32)regional disparities in living standards and productivity (R11)
regional growth (R11)changes in relative population sizes and densities (J11)

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