Changes in the Relative Demand for Skills in the UK Labour Market

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP952

Authors: Stephen Machin

Abstract: In this paper I document changes in the distribution of employment in the UK labour market in the 1980s. I use two longitudinal data sources, an industry-level panel data set between 1979 and 1990, and the panel component of the 1984 and 1990 establishment-level Workplace Industrial Relations Surveys. There is evidence of a considerable shift towards the increased relative use of what may be termed more skilled labour (i.e. towards non-manual work, away from manual work and towards more highly-educated labour). This seems to be principally driven by within-industry and establishment factors rather than by industry/establishment shifts in product demand. There is some support for the notion that manual employment saving changes, perhaps due to the increased use of computer technology and/or innovation, are of empirical importance.

Keywords: employment; composition; R&D intensity; innovation; computer use

JEL Codes: J01


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Technological changes (O33)Increased relative use of skilled labor (J24)
Increased relative use of skilled labor (J24)Increased share of nonmanual employment (J29)
Technological changes (O33)Increased share of nonmanual employment (J29)
Technological changes (O33)Increased share of nonmanual wage costs (J39)
Increased share of nonmanual employment (J29)Increased share of nonmanual wage costs (J39)
Technological changes (O33)Increased nonmanual employment in R&D intensive and innovative industries (O39)

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