Supply Chain Trade: A Portrait of Global Patterns and Several Testable Hypotheses

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP9421

Authors: Richard Baldwin; Javier Lopez-Gonzalez

Abstract: The trade linked to international production networks ? supply-chain trade for short ? is associated with momentous global economic changes. This paper presents a portrait of the global pattern of supply-chain trade and how it has evolved since 1995. The paper draws on a variety of data sources but most heavily on the recent World Input-Output Database. China?s supply-chain trade receives special attention.

Keywords: China; Trade; Fragmentation; Intermediate Goods; Trade Offshoring; Second Unbundling; Supply Chain Trade

JEL Codes: C67; F15; F23


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
supply chain trade (F19)global economic relations (F01)
supply chain trade (F19)shift in global manufacturing dynamics (F69)
shift in global manufacturing dynamics (F69)decline in G7 nations' shares of world trade and income (F62)
supply chain trade (F19)second unbundling of globalization (F69)
second unbundling of globalization (F69)rapid industrialization of nations (O14)
geographic clustering of manufacturing growth (R32)efficiency of production networks (D24)

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