Divided Majority and Information Aggregation: Theory and Experiment

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP9234

Authors: Laurent Bouton; Micael Castanheira; Aniol Llorentes-Aguer

Abstract: This paper both theoretically and experimentally studies the properties of plurality and approval voting when the majority is divided as a result of information imperfections. The minority backs a third alternative, which the majority views as strictly inferior. The majority thus faces two problems: aggregating information and coordinating to defeat the minority candidate. Two types of equilibria coexist under plurality: either voters aggregate information, but this requires splitting their votes, or they coordinate but cannot aggregate information. With approval voting, expected welfare is strictly higher, because some voters multiple vote to achieve both goals at once. In the laboratory, we observe both types of equilibrium under plurality. Which one is selected depends on the size of the minority. Approval voting vastly outperforms plurality. Finally, subject behavior suggests the need to study asymmetric equilibria.

Keywords: Approval Voting; Experiments; Multicandidate Elections; Plurality

JEL Codes: C72; C92; D70; P16


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
plurality voting (D72)inefficient outcomes (D61)
plurality voting (D72)challenges in aggregating information (C80)
approval voting (D72)higher expected welfare (D69)
approval voting (D72)better aggregation of information (C43)
size of minority (J15)dynamics of voter behavior (D72)
dynamics of voter behavior (D72)overall electoral outcome (K16)

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