Capital Gains Taxation and the Cost of Capital: Evidence from Unanticipated Cross-Border Transfers of Tax Bases

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP9151

Authors: Harry Huizinga; Johannes Voget; Wolf Wagner

Abstract: In a cross-border takeover, the tax base associated with future capital gains is transferred from target shareholders to acquirer shareholders. Cross-country differences in capital gains tax rates enable us to estimate the discount in target valuation on account of future capital gains. A one percentage point increase in the capital gains tax rate reduces the value of equity by 0.225%. The implied average effective tax rate on capital gains is 7% and it raises the cost of capital by 5.3% of its no-tax level. This indicates that capital gains taxation is a significant cost to firms when issuing new equity.

Keywords: capital gains taxation; cost of capital; international takeovers; takeover premium

JEL Codes: G32; G34; H25


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
capital gains tax rate in the acquirer country (F21)valuation of the target firm (G34)
capital gains tax rate in the acquirer country (F21)takeover premiums (G34)
capital gains tax rate in the acquirer country (F21)cost of equity capital (G12)
capital gains tax rate in the acquirer country (F21)likelihood of cash transactions in takeovers (G34)

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