A Macroeconomic Model of Endogenous Systemic Risk Taking

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP9134

Authors: David Martinez-Miera; Javier Suarez

Abstract: We analyze banks' systemic risk taking in a simple dynamic general equilibrium model. Banks collect funds from savers and make loans to firms. Banks are owned by risk-neutral bankers who provide the equity needed to comply with capital requirements. Bankers decide their (unobservable) exposure to systemic shocks by trading off risk-shifting gains with the value of preserving their capital after a systemic shock. Capital requirements reduce credit and output in

Keywords: capital requirements; credit cycles; financial crises; macroprudential policies; risk shifting; systemic risk

JEL Codes: E44; G21; G28


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Lower systemic risk-taking (G40)Reduced incentives for risk-shifting behavior (G40)
Higher capital requirements (G28)Lower systemic risk-taking (G40)
Higher capital requirements (G28)Reduced incentives for risk-shifting behavior (G40)
Higher capital requirements (G28)Lower expected values for GDP (E20)
Higher capital requirements (G28)Lower bank credit availability (G21)

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