Managing Currency Pegs

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP8983

Authors: Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé; Martín Uribe

Abstract: The combination of a fixed exchange rate and downward nominal wage rigidity creates a real rigidity. In turn, this real rigidity makes the economy prone to involuntary unemployment during external crises. This paper presents a graphical analysis of alternative policy strategies aimed at mitigating this source of inefficiency. First- and second-best monetary and fiscal solutions are analyzed. Second-best solutions are prudential, whereas first-best solutions are not.

Keywords: Capital Controls; Currency Pegs; Downward Nominal Wage Rigidity; Pecuniary Externality

JEL Codes: E31; E62; F41


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Fixed exchange rates + Downward nominal wage rigidity (F31)Real rigidity (D50)
Real rigidity (D50)Involuntary unemployment (J64)
Fixed exchange rates + Downward nominal wage rigidity (F31)Involuntary unemployment (J64)
Optimal devaluation policies (F31)Full employment (J23)
Labor subsidies (J38)Pareto optimal allocation (D61)
Labor subsidies (J38)Employment levels (J23)

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