Vertical Exclusion with Endogenous Competition Externalities

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP8982

Authors: Stephen Hansen; Massimo Motta

Abstract: In a vertical market in which downstream firms have private information about their productivity and compete for consumers, an upstream firm posts public bilateral contracts. When downstream firms are risk-neutral without wealth constraints, the upstream firm offers the input to all retailers. When they are sufficiently risk averse it sells to one, thereby eliminating externalities among downstream firms that necessitate the payment of risk premia. By similar reasoning exclusion is also optimal with downstream wealth constraints. Thus exclusion arises when contracts are fully observable and downstream firms are ex ante symmetric. The result is robust to a number of extensions.

Keywords: adverse selection; exclusive contracts; limited liability; risk

JEL Codes: D82; L22; L42


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Risk aversion (D81)exclusion (Y60)
Competition externalities (L13)uncertainty (D89)
uncertainty (D89)exclusive contracts (L14)
Wealth constraints (E21)exclusion (Y60)
Risk aversion + Competition externalities (D81)optimality of exclusive contracts (L14)
Risk aversion (D81)increased preference for exclusive contracts (L14)

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