Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP8614
Authors: Johannes van Biesebroeck; Lijun Zhang
Abstract: We analyze a firm that produces a final good from multiple intermediates that can each be sourced domestically or from a low-wage country. The model explicitly incorporates that sourcing decisions of intermediates are interdependent. Equilibrium predictions depend crucially on a key modeling assumption--the nature of the trade friction that foreign production has to overcome. If production abroad involves a fixed cost, offshoring one intermediate unambiguously facilitates offshoring of other intermediates. However, if production abroad involves incomplete contracts, offshoring one intermediate almost always makes it more difficult to offshore others. We illustrate that the pattern in prices at which successive automotive parts are imported into the U.S. accords better with the predictions of the incomplete contracting model, except for a few countries with the best governance indicators.
Keywords: FDI; outsourcing; property rights
JEL Codes: D23; F12; L23
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| offshoring one intermediate (F16) | offshoring others (F23) |
| offshoring one intermediate (F16) | complicates offshoring of others (F69) |
| maturity of parts (L15) | timing of offshoring decisions (F23) |