Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP8389
Authors: Rodney D. Ludema; Anna Maria Mayda
Abstract: We analyze temporary trade barriers (TTB) in Canada in 1989-2009. We find that, despite the retreat in TTB stocks in the last decade, there are signs of a rebound. New AD cases have surged during the crisis, which portends a rise in AD stocks that could last for several years. Thus, the connection of AD protection to the business cycle remains strong. A second finding is that there appears to be a major structural shift underway in terms of the products and countries on which TTBs are applied. The product scope of AD protection has narrowed, and increases in AD protection have taken place in sectors with relatively small reductions of MFN tariffs. China and, to a lesser extent, other developing countries are being targeted with far greater intensity than ever before. Finally, the duration of AD remedies fell during the first half of the 2000s though this seems to have been reversed in the latter half of the decade.
Keywords: Antidumping; Canada
JEL Codes: F1; F13
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| AD protection (Y20) | business cycle (E32) |
| business cycle (E32) | AD cases (E00) |
| macroeconomic conditions (E66) | AD filings (M38) |
| structural shifts in AD targeting (M30) | targeting of China (F23) |
| duration of AD remedies (C41) | procyclical nature of AD stocks (E00) |