What Drives U.S. Immigration Policy? Evidence from Congressional Roll Call Votes

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP8299

Authors: Giovanni Facchini; Max Steinhardt

Abstract: Immigration is one of the most hotly debated policy issues in the United States today. Despite marked divergence of opinions within political parties, several important immigration reforms were introduced in the post 1965 era. The purpose of this paper is to systematically analyze the drivers of congressional voting behavior on immigration policy during the period 1970-2006, and in particular, to assess the role of economic factors at the district level. Our findings provide robust evidence that representatives of more skilled labor abundant constituencies are more likely to support an open immigration policy concerning unskilled labor. Thus, a simple factor-proportions-analysis model provides useful insights regarding the policy making process on one of the most controversial facets of globalization.

Keywords: immigration policy; political economy; voting

JEL Codes: F22; J61


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
share of skilled labor in district (J24)support for liberalizing immigration policies (K37)
district wealth (I39)support for liberalizing immigration policies (K37)
party affiliation (D72)support for liberalizing immigration policies (K37)
share of skilled labor in district (J24)expected labor market impact of foreign workers (F66)
expected labor market impact of foreign workers (F66)support for liberalizing immigration policies (K37)

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